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Making Sense of It All

by Reid M. Watts, ProgenyVC.com

Advice and Perspective for Corporate Executives

Wednesday October 29, 2003 8:30 am

Yesterday's Wall Street Journal ran an editorial making the same points that my October 2, 2003 Making Sense of it All column made, but with some additional information. It is always nice when the Journal's editorial board agrees with your analysis and conclusions. In case you missed it, here is their editorial:

 

"Bring It On Home - How to get capital stashed abroad back to the U.S

"A common political gripe is that American Corporations take business and jobs a way from U.S. shores. Here's a radical thought: How about fixing the parts of the tax code that encourage them to keep their cash overseas? That's the point of a proposal gaining traction in Congress to allow a one-year, tax reduction on corporate income earned abroad. Instead of the usual U.S. tax rate of 35% that businesses pay on income earned by their foreign subsidiaries, companies would pay a 5.25% rate if they repatriate that income during a 12-month period.

"We aren't usually fans of temporary tax proposals, and a broader reform that makes U.S. corporate taxes more competitive with the rest of the world would be preferable. But you can squander five lifetimes waiting for Congress to pass tax reform, and this idea would at least provide a one-time economic and revenue boost. It would also move the U.S. in the sensible direction of what's called a 'territorial tax.'

"The U.S. is currently a rare country that taxes income earned anywhere at U.S. rates. Most countries allow income to be taxed in the places ("territory") where it's earned. The U.S. has tried to compensate by offering corporate tax credits for income earned and taxed abroad, but those credits have many restrictions and limits. The practical effect is that law-abiding American companies hold abroad tens of billions of dollars on which they've already paid foreign taxes and refuse to repatriate lest they get taxed again at that 35% U.S. rate.

"A 12-month tax window would induce companies to bring much of this cash home, by one estimate (a J.P. Morgan study) $300 billion or more. As a matter of federal revenue, a 5.25% tax on $300 billion certainly beats 35% of nothing. And that's before any growth effect at home from investing that returning capital. A study by economist Allen Sinai estimates a boost to GDP of 0.2% in 2004 and 0.9% in 2005, along with increases in jobs and capital spending, from the proposal.

"Such estimates are always speculative, but it's fair to say U.S. companies wouldn't stuff that returning capital in a mattress. They'd invest it to increase domestic productivity and employment, or perhaps use it to reduce debt or to pay higher dividends. Especially given the current concern about American jobs moving to India and China, any proposal that gives companies an incentive to bring work home should be taken seriously.

"One objection is that it would encourage U.S. companies to keep future earnings abroad because they'll anticipate another one-year tax reprieve some years hence. This is the reason Congress's Joint Tax Committee scores the proposal as losing $4.4 billion in revenue over 10 years. We're delighted Joint Tax has finally discovered that taxpayer behavior changes as tax rates do. But the 35% U.S. corporate rate is already a large enough incentive to keep cash abroad. The best tax policy would be to turn the one-year lower rate into a permanently lower one, but even one year is better than current policy.

"A large Senate majority is already on record supporting the one-year tax reprieve. House Ways and Means Chairman Bill Thomas has supported something like it in the past, albeit at a 7% instead of 5.25% rate, but recent word is he's kept the provision out of the overseas tax bill he is moving through his committee this week. We hope he reconsiders, or that a conference committee restores it. There's no reason other than the crazy U.S. tax code that a dollar earned abroad shouldn't be spent at home."

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                           Let me know what you think – email me at reid@progenyvc.com

 

 
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Last modified: February 03, 2008
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