Friday
November 21, 2003 8:30 am
There appear to be
many misconceptions about globalization. To begin with, there is an
unchallenged belief that we currently are at a historical
extreme of free international trade and investment, and that further
movement toward freer markets will push us into uncharted waters
with unknown consequences. Politicians, reporters, and the demonstrators
who are currently in Miami protesting the Americas free trade
negotiations all appear to assume this, and focus their
attention on whether they are for or against it, and what to do
about it.
A review of history shows that we
are neither at an extreme nor are we anywhere close to
uncharted waters. International trade and investment today is
still far more restrained by national governments than it was a
century ago, or even four centuries ago. The moves toward
increasingly free international trade and investment that we
have been experiencing for the last twenty years, is actually an
incomplete recovery from the sharp reversal the world
experienced in the first half of the 20th century.
The first stock corporations of
note in 17th century France, England, and Holland were all
organized exclusively for the purpose of investing in foreign
countries and developing trade with those countries and
territories. The United States industrial revolution was almost
entirely financed with this type of foreign capital - the US
would simply not be what it is today, or have developed as
rapidly as it did, if foreign investment and trade had been
restrained by European governments. In 1913, Great Britain
exported capital equivalent to an astonishing 7% of its GNP. In
the years of 1910 through 1913, 71% of all capital raised
on the London stock exchange (the largest stock exchange at the
time) was for foreign corporations. No developed nation has even
come close to matching these numbers since.
Continuously from 1609 (the year
the Dutch East India Company was founded) until 1914,
globalization was strongly evident as a long-term trend toward
ever freer and more vigorous international trade and investment.
It all ended with the onset of World War I. "It came upon
us like a thunderbolt from a clear sky", recalled one
London stock exchange member. Within a matter of only a few
years, nationalist governments in all of the major nations of
the world had heavily interceded in both trade and investments,
bringing both to a near halt, never to fully recover. In fact,
on the European continent, they simply closed the stock exchanges
altogether to prevent capital from flowing out of their
countries and into "enemy" hands. The Bank of England
froze all transactions with foreign nationals. The New York
market re-opened late in 1914 with relatively few constraints
and, without any European competition, quickly assumed it's
current day role as the primary stock exchange in the world.
Nonetheless, the governments of all of the developed countries
around the world seized control of their means of production as
well as their means of finance in order to build their military
machines and fund their wars.
Since the end of the two World
Wars, the world has been slowly recovering from its lurch into
extreme nationalism. Slowly the restrictions and barriers to
trade and investment have been watered down. But even after more
than a half century, international trade and investment are
still not as free from government intervention as they were in
the three centuries before the World Wars.
The
opposite of globalization is nationalism. In the first half of the
20th century, extreme nationalism ended in a nightmare of slaughter
and destruction unprecedented in human history. On the European
continent, where most of the slaughter and destruction took place,
the leaders learned their lesson and spent the second half of the
century carefully stripping away the power of their own
nation-states in favor of free trade and the free movement of
capital and labor between them. In 1998, they even removed the power of their
own nations to issue currency, thus freeing the new "single
currency" from the threat of manipulation for national
political purposes. The
result is that for the first time in over a millennium, war
between the major euro-block countries of France, Germany, Italy,
Spain and England is so unlikely that it is unthinkable.
It's nationalism
that we should fear, not globalization.